http://treadly.net/2008/05/02/speedlinking-2-may-2008/ Work is just something I do between bike rides Tue, 03 Jan 2012 06:01:19 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 http://treadly.net/2008/05/02/speedlinking-2-may-2008/comment-page-1/#comment-1275 hielke Fri, 09 May 2008 13:07:36 +0000 http://treadly.net/2008/05/02/speedlinking-2-may-2008/#comment-1275 <p>I was thinking about the 10% chance of getting wet. It felt it was too high, but I have an idea why this may be so. 10% would apply to a commuter with a 2 hour commute in the morning and a 3 hour commute in the afternoon who simultaneously rides on every single bit of Melbourne's roads! My own commuting route/time/luck is such that I can't even remember the last time I did get rained on. My best guess is that my probability is somewhere around 2 to 3%.</p> I was thinking about the 10% chance of getting wet. It felt it was too high, but I have an idea why this may be so. 10% would apply to a commuter with a 2 hour commute in the morning and a 3 hour commute in the afternoon who simultaneously rides on every single bit of Melbourne’s roads! My own commuting route/time/luck is such that I can’t even remember the last time I did get rained on. My best guess is that my probability is somewhere around 2 to 3%.

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